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Tuesday, March 25, 2025

AppLovin Faces Exclusion Threat: Fraud Claims Surge Amid Stock Rise

1 min read
AppLovin short-seller urges exclusion of the stock from S&P 500 index

A significant controversy is brewing surrounding AppLovin (APP), as short-seller Fuzzy Panda Research publicly demanded the exclusion of the ad-tech firm from the S&P 500 Index this week. The firm has accused AppLovin of adopting deceptive methods to inflate its online advertising revenue, raising concerns just as AppLovin’s stock experienced a dramatic rise of over 700% last year, increasing its market capitalization past $110 billion.

Claims of Fraudulent Practices

Fuzzy Panda’s letter to the S&P Index Committee, dated March 4, outlines serious allegations against AppLovin, particularly focusing on claims of violating app store policies set by Google and Apple. In their correspondence, Fuzzy Panda emphasized the critical nature of these charges that could influence AppLovin’s potential candidacy for inclusion in the benchmark index.

The company was notably omitted from the latest adjustments to the S&P 500 in December, resulting in a subsequent drop in its stock price by 15%. Meanwhile, fellow cloud software provider Workday was included, despite having a considerably lower market valuation, reflecting the complexities and competitive dynamics influencing S&P index performance.

Market Reactions and Analyst Perspectives

The impending quarterly rebalancing of the S&P 500 scheduled for later in March comes into sharp focus as Fuzzy Panda positions itself as a vocal critic, betting that AppLovin’s stock will falter further. In their letter, they asserted that AppLovin does not meet the index’s established standards for inclusion.

Despite these charges, AppLovin’s CEO, Tim Donovan, has publicly defended the company, commenting on the inaccuracies within the critics’ claims. AppLovin recently reported an earnings victory that resulted in a significant stock surge, only to see shares plummet close to 50% in value afterward, exacerbated by the unsettling publicity from short-sellers.

Analysts from major Wall Street firms expressed skepticism about the allegations against AppLovin, with some reiterating their buy ratings. These analysts believe that the alleged issues raised by Fuzzy Panda don’t hold substantial validity, implying that AppLovin’s technological advancements genuinely substantiate its market position.

Allegations and Investigations

Fuzzy Panda’s accusations include claims of data theft related to Meta and potential violations of laws aimed at protecting children in the digital advertising space. They have stated that their findings rely on interviews with former AppLovin employees, insights from industry experts, and thorough testing of the company’s technology.

In a response to recent allegations, Donovan argued that the assertions made by Fuzzy Panda were skewed with the intent of squeezing stock prices for short-selling gains rather than recognizing AppLovin’s progress and achievements.

Overall, as tensions between AppLovin and short-sellers escalate, the implications of this dispute will likely resonate through the stock market landscape, especially with the upcoming S&P 500 rebalancing approaching.

  • AppLovin’s stock surged over 700% last year.
  • Fuzzy Panda claims AppLovin engages in fraudulent practices.
  • AppLovin was omitted from the S&P 500 last December.
  • Short-sellers predict further declines in AppLovin’s stock.